Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.000018 0.000020 0.000023 0.000025 0.000029 0.000033 0.000037
2025-02-23 0.000015 0.000018 0.000021 0.000026 0.000032 0.000041 0.000053
2025-03-02 0.000013 0.000016 0.000020 0.000026 0.000035 0.000049 0.000070
2025-03-09 0.000011 0.000015 0.000019 0.000026 0.000037 0.000055 0.000088
2025-03-16 0.000010 0.000013 0.000018 0.000026 0.000039 0.000062 0.000108
2025-03-23 0.000009 0.000013 0.000018 0.000026 0.000041 0.000069 0.000134
2025-03-30 0.000009 0.000012 0.000017 0.000026 0.000043 0.000077 0.000166
2025-04-06 0.000008 0.000011 0.000017 0.000026 0.000045 0.000085 0.000200
2025-04-13 0.000007 0.000011 0.000016 0.000026 0.000046 0.000092 0.000238
2025-04-20 0.000007 0.000010 0.000016 0.000026 0.000048 0.000100 0.000290
2025-04-27 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000026 0.000049 0.000110 0.000355
2025-05-04 0.000006 0.000009 0.000015 0.000026 0.000050 0.000119 0.000426
2025-05-11 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000026 0.000053 0.000132 0.000545
2025-05-18 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000026 0.000056 0.000151 0.000742
2025-05-25 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000027 0.000060 0.000173 0.001029
2025-06-01 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000027 0.000061 0.000189 0.001343
2025-06-08 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000026 0.000063 0.000205 0.001739
2025-06-15 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000027 0.000065 0.000227 0.002436
2025-06-22 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000027 0.000068 0.000254 0.003544
2025-06-29 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000026 0.000069 0.000276 0.004995
2025-07-06 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000026 0.000070 0.000297 0.007057
2025-07-13 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000026 0.000072 0.000326 0.011103
2025-07-20 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000026 0.000075 0.000361 0.019211